National Bureau of Economic Research
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Quantifying 'Mortgage Rate Lock' for US Homeowners
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The traditional 30-year, fixed-rate, nonassumable mortgage used by most home buyers in the United States can create strong disincentives to move when interest rates rise. In Household Mobility and Mortgage Rate Lock (NBER Working Paper 32781), Jack Liebersohn and Jesse Rothstein find that rising rates in the last three years have discouraged mobility for homeowners with fixed-rate mortgages. Because rising interest rates have increased the costs of obtaining a new mortgage relative to keeping their existing one, homeowners face high costs of moving, and many have avoided otherwise desirable moves. Because recent...
From the NBER Bulletin on Retirement and Disability
Inflation’s Impact on Social Security Disability Program Beneficiaries
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Social Security Disability (SSD) program beneficiaries, like other consumers, have been negatively affected by inflation over the past several years. In a survey from June of 2023, more than half (59 percent) of SSD program beneficiaries reported higher prices for the disability-related goods and services they need to purchase, and more than one-quarter reported reducing food spending to cover disability-related costs, Zachary Morris and Stephanie Rennane found in Examining the Impact of Inflation on the Economic Security of Disability Program Beneficiaries (NBER RDRC Paper NB23-08).
Using new survey data, the researchers found that 82 percent of beneficiaries reported out-of-pocket expenses related to their disability, with average annual spending of $4,412 and median spending...
From the NBER Reporter: Research, program, and conference summaries
Lessons for Economists from the Pandemic
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It is an honor to be here today; I owe my love of economics to the Bureau as well as my many friends and colleagues. Marty [Martin] Feldstein was one of the people who made it such a special place. I enjoyed seeing him around the Bureau, learning public finance from him, and briefly serving as his research assistant. I’d sit in his office, in awe of his incredible intellect and economic insights, and be completely distracted by the hilarious cartoons he had framed in his office. My favorite was the one in which Marty is depicted rowing in the wrong direction in a skiff while President Reagan yells “Feldstein!” They all reflected his steadfast willingness to speak his mind, to “speak truth to power,” even to the president of the United States...
From the NBER Bulletin on Entrepreneurship
“Third Places” Boost Local Economic Activity
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Sociologists have argued that “third places” like cafés, which provide opportunities for individuals to socialize and exchange ideas outside of home and work, improve neighborhood life. But what about the relationship between such places and economic activity? In Third Places and Neighborhood Entrepreneurship: Evidence from Starbucks Cafés (NBER Working Paper 32604), researchers Jinkyong Choi, Jorge Guzman, and Mario L. Small use data on US business registrations between 1990 and 2022 from the Startup Cartography Project to examine whether the opening of a Starbucks in a neighborhood with no previous cafés affects local entrepreneurship...
From the NBER Bulletin on Health
Effects of Insurance Coverage on Infertility Treatments, Childbearing, and Wellbeing
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Between 1995 and 2010, the share of births in Sweden that involved assisted reproductive technologies (ART) rose from 2 to 10 percent. These treatments range from low-cost drugs to costly and invasive interventions, such as in vitro fertilization (IVF).
In The Economics of Infertility: Evidence from Reproductive Medicine (NBER Working Paper 32445), Sarah Bögl, Jasmin Moshfegh, Petra Persson, and Maria Polyakova provide new evidence on the consequences of infertility and the role of insurance coverage in household decisions to initiate treatment. Using administrative, population-wide data for the period 2006–2019, the researchers estimate the use of infertility treatment. They find that over the course of their fertile years...
Featured Working Papers
Almost 20 percent of the variance in lifetime earnings is accounted for by differences in lifetime hours of work, with 90 percent of this effect due to heterogeneity in preferences, according to research by Alexander Bick, Adam Blandin, Richard Rogerson.
Charging consumers varying electricity rates based on time of use and employing critical-peak pricing would better align prices with costs than current pricing rules, correcting about 10 percent of mispricing and capturing most potential efficiency gains while limiting customer risk, Andrew J. Hinchberger, Mark R. Jacobsen, Christopher R. Knittel, James M. Sallee, and Arthur A. van Benthem find.
At calendar age 55, Black men and women have a measure of frailty, defined as the presence of one or more health conditions or limitations, that is the same as that of White men and women 13 and 20 years older, respectively. This is a strong contributor to economic inequality, according to research by Nicolò Russo, Rory McGee, Mariacristina De Nardi, Margherita Borella, and Ross Abram.
The incumbent advantage in state-wide elections in 2020, 2021, and 2022 was larger than usual in states that received more relief funding due to their overrepresentation in Congress, according to a study by Jeffrey Clemens, Julia A. Payson, and Stan Veuger.
Most US corporate and municipal green bond proceeds are used for refinancing ordinary debt, continuing ongoing projects, or initiating projects without novel green aspects for the issuer. Only 2 percent are used to initiate projects with green features beyond the issuer’s standard practice, Pauline Lam and Jeffrey Wurgler find.
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