Survival Pessimism and the Demand for Annuities
The "annuity puzzle" refers to the fact that annuities are rarely purchased despite the longevity insurance they provide. Most explanations for this puzzle assume that individuals have accurate expectations about their future survival. We provide evidence that individuals misperceive their mortality risk, and study the demand for annuities in a setting where annuities are priced by insurers on the basis of objectively-measured survival probabilities but in which individuals make purchasing decisions based on their own subjective survival probabilities. Subjective expectations have the capacity to explain significant rates of non-annuitization, yielding a quantitatively important explanation for the annuity puzzle.
Non-Technical Summaries
- Survey data from England show individuals in their 60s and 70s underestimate their likelihood of living to old ages, which could...
Published Versions
Cormac O'Dea & David Sturrock, 2023. "Survival Pessimism and the Demand for Annuities," The Review of Economics and Statistics, vol 105(2), pages 442-457.