Kindleberger Cycles: Method in the madness of crowds?
Working Paper 28411
DOI 10.3386/w28411
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Corporate R&D has a social return far above its internal rate of return to the innovating corporation, and so is chronically underfunded from a social perspective. Kindleberger cycles, irregularly recurring stock market manias, panics, and crashes, prominent in financial history, are also a major problem for mainstream economics. If manias inundating “hot” new technologies with capital sufficiently counter chronic underinvestment in innovation, economy-level selection may favor institutions and behavioral norms conducive to Kindleberger cycles despite individual agents’ losses in panics and crashes.
Published Versions
Randall Morck, 2022. "Kindleberger Cycles: Method in the Madness of Crowds?," Annual Review of Financial Economics, vol 14(1).