Center on Food Security and the Environment
473 Via Ortega
Stanford, CA 94305
Institutional Affiliation: Stanford University
NBER Working Papers and Publications
|April 2019||Climatic Constraints on Aggregate Economic Output|
with Marshall Burke: w25779
Efficient responses to climate change require accurate estimates of both aggregate damages and where and to whom they occur. While specific case studies and simulations have suggested that climate change disproportionately affects the poor, large-scale direct evidence of the magnitude and origins of this disparity is lacking. Similarly, evidence on aggregate damages, which is a central input into the evaluation of mitigation policy, often relies on country-level data whose accuracy has been questioned. Here we assemble longitudinal data on economic output from over 11,000 districts across 37 countries, including previously nondigitized sources in multiple languages, to assess both the aggregate and distributional impacts of warming temperatures. We find that local-level growth in aggregate...