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Banks vs. Private Credit Funds: A Balance-Sheet Comparison Figure

Banks vs. Private Credit Funds: A Balance-Sheet Comparison

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Recent decades have seen corporate lending shift away from traditional banks and toward private credit funds. The latter are investment vehicles structured as limited partnerships that extend loans to businesses, often middle-market firms without easy access to conventional financing. Assets in the private credit sector have grown from under $10 billion in the early 2000s to more than $1 trillion in 2024. Along with this growth, there have been rising concerns that private credit may replicate the fragilities historically associated with banking: high leverage, maturity mismatch, opacity, and interconnectedness with the broader financial system.

In Private Credit, Balance Sheets and Financial Stability (NBER Working Paper 34991), Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski, and Amit Seru examine whether these concerns are supported by the structure of private credit...

From the NBER Reporter: Research, program, and conference summaries

Worker Voice and Firm Governance Figure 1

Worker Voice and Firm Governance

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What happens when workers get a formal seat at the table in corporate governance? In many European countries, laws require that worker representatives serve on company boards and participate in management decisions, a shared governance system known as codetermination. Germany's version, dating to the postwar era in its current form, is perhaps the most prominent: workers elect representatives to corporate supervisory boards, and establishment-level works councils participate in day-to-day workplace decisions. During its long history, codetermination has regularly attracted attention in countries that typically exclusively rely on shareholder control, such as the United States or the United Kingdom. The central question for economists is whether giving workers formal representation in firm governance meaningfully affects wages,…

From the NBER Bulletin on Entrepreneurship

Mixed Immigrant-Native Founding Teams Excel Figure

Mixed Immigrant-Native Founding Teams Excel

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Roughly one-quarter of new employer businesses in the United States are started by immigrants. Immigrant inventors have been responsible for approximately 23 percent of US patents produced since 1976 despite making up only 16 percent of the total US-based inventor population. Yet immigrant entrepreneurs usually do not build companies in isolation—many cofound startups alongside US-born entrepreneurs. In Native-Immigrant Entrepreneurial Synergies (NBER Working Paper 33804), Zhao JinAmir Kermani, and Timothy McQuade examine whether startups cofounded by immigrant and native entrepreneurs outperform those with founders from exclusively one...

From the NBER Bulletin on Health

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Immunotherapy Increases the Cost of Cancer Care but Reduces Mortality

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Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are immunotherapy drugs that mobilize the patient’s immune system to detect and attack cancer cells. They are considered a breakthrough development in cancer care, but are very expensive, with a full course of treatment costing more than $150,000 per patient. In The Impact of Immunotherapy on Reductions in Cancer Mortality: Evidence from Medicare (NBER Working Paper 34317), Danea Horn, Abby E. Alpert, Mark Duggan, and Mireille Jacobson use Medicare claims data to evaluate the impact of the first ICIs on healthcare use, costs, and mortality among beneficiaries diagnosed with...

Featured Working Papers

Wives and daughters of disabled Union Army veterans were 0.55 percentage points more likely to enter the labor force by 1870 than other women. Madison K. ArnsbargerAndreas Ferrara, and Paige Montrose argue that this rise contributed to the emergence of the 1873–74 Temperance Crusades.

Equity analysts' expected returns are strongly contrarian and predict future returns, while individual investors' expectations move in the opposite direction, extrapolating past returns rather than fundamentals. Disagreement between the two groups explains a substantial share of aggregate trading volume, according to David Thesmar and Emil Verner.

Robert J. Gordon and Kenneth Ryu argue that the decline of US manufacturing productivity growth from 3.3 percent annually over the period 1987–2010 to -0.3 percent between 2010 and 2023 can be traced to a surge of imported goods that halted domestic manufacturing output growth around 2000. This triggered a chain of declining investment, R&D, and innovation that ultimately undermined productivity.

Paul H.S. Kim and Anran Li find that for every dollar the government spends on public health reinsurance, consumer premiums fall by $1.30 because reinsurance reduces not only expected claims costs but also the financial risk charges that insurers embed in their prices.

Although successive generations of AI coding tools such as autocomplete, sync agents, and async agents have increased the production of code by 40 percent, 140 percent, and 180 percent respectively, even the largest effect has translated to only a 30 percent increase in actual software releases, according to Mert DemirerLeon Musolff, and Liyuan Yang.

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