The Dynamics of Housing Prices
Working Paper 20418
DOI 10.3386/w20418
Issue Date
We analyze the prices of owner-occupied housing in 97 metropolitan areas between 1980 and 2011. Our tests indicate that price changes exhibit positive serial correlation at the one year intervals, with subsequent reversals of price changes over longer intervals. Consistent with our simple model, regional differences in observed price patterns reflect differences in the serial correlation of the demand shocks as well as the elasticity of supply responses.
Published Versions
Journal of Real Estate Research, 2014, vol. 36, issue 3, 283-317